home about

publications

in the news links sitemap site updates
FOIA
documents
about:

 

 

 

 

 

This web site is best
viewed in full screen
(1024x768) and
medium font with
Internet Explorer 5 or
higher and Netscape
6 or higher.

 


powered by
freefind.com

 


In one of his last statements before he retired, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Richard Meyers, said the draft nuclear doctrine criticized in the media was far from publication. But was it?
Nuclear Brief October 1, 2005

New Doctrine: How Close to Publication?

Former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Richard Meyers stated during the Pentagon's news briefing on September 20, 2005, that the critique of the forthcoming Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations (Joint Pub 3-12) is wrong because it is based on an early draft that "doesn't even reflect the current addition." The draft was "
out for coordination at the lieutenant colonel/colonel level. It had not been to general officer/flag officer level yet...[and] has been modified since then," Meyers said.

Yet publication schedules posted on the Joint Staff's web site, but since removed, suggest the doctrine was a great deal closer to publication than Meyers suggested. The schedules show that the draft nuclear doctrine was in the "final" phase for "approval" and that a specific publication date (August 15, 2005) had been chosen. In fact, the doctrine had been in "approval" stage and in "final coordination" phase since October 2004, when the "final coordination adjudicated comments" was "completed," and the next phase was listed as "signature" (see table).

JP 3-12 Production Schedule Milestones

Date Highlights
  Stage Current Phase Next Phase Projected Approval
April 7, 2005 Approval Final n.a. August 15, 2005
December 30, 2004 Approval FC Signature. "FC adjudicated comments complete- 15 Dec 04." January 2005
October 29, 2004 Approval FC "Awaiting FC comments from JDDC." n.a.
July 23, 2004 Revision Approval Approval August 2004
April 9, 2004 Revision Approval Approval May 2004
March 1, 2004 Revision Approval Approval March 2004
December 15, 2003 Revision Approval Approval March 2004
October 31, 2003 Revision Approval Approval March 2004
July 31, 2003 Revision FC Approval December 2003
April 30, 2003 Revision FC Approval November 2003
March 31, 2003 Revision FC Approval November 2003
September 30, 2002 Revision 2nd draft FC December 2003
June 23, 2002 Revision 1st draft 2nd draft October 2003
FC: Final Coordination  JDDC: Joint Doctrine Development Community

Another indication of the advanced stage of the draft, which appears to contradict Meyers' statement, comes from the production schedules' record of how quickly other Joint Publications were published after completing their final coordination phase.

One example is Joint Pub 2-01, Joint and National Intelligence Support to Military Operations, which was published on October 7, 2004. This revision was begun in January 2002, completed first draft in July 2002, second draft in January 2003, and final coordination draft in December 2003. After that, "approval" was scheduled for May 2004 but slipped to October 7, 2004, when the doctrine was finally approved and published. In other words, less than a year between final coordination draft and approval. There are many other cases like this in the production schedules.

Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations (JP 3-12) completed final coordination draft in October 2004, and went through a unique second coordination draft that was completed in March 2005. This additional process clarified the issues so much that the specific date of August 15, 2005, was set for both signature and publication.

All of this strongly suggests that the doctrine was very close to publication when it was critiqued in Arms Control Today on September 7, 2005, and reported in the Washington Post on September 11. If Gen. Meyers' statement means that the draft doctrine has been changed considerably because of the critique of some of its core elements, then that is all for the better.

Hans M. Kristensen/Federation of American Scientists | www.nukestrat.com | 2004-2006



download production
schedules for JP 3-12:

April 7, 2005
December 30, 2004
October 29, 2004
July 23, 2004
April 9, 2004
March 1, 2004
December 15, 2003
October 31, 2003
July 31, 2003
April 30, 2003
March 31, 2003
September 30, 2002
June 12, 2002

background information:

Hans M. Kristensen, "New Doctrine Falls Short of Bush Pledge to Reduce Nuclear Role," Arms Control Today, September, 2005.

Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations, document collection and analysis on nukestrat.com

Walter Pincus, "Pentagon Revises Nuclear Strike Plan," Washington Post, September 11, 2005, p. A1.


Adobe Acrobat Reader
required to view
 

 

  Hans M. Kristensen