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Front Page News Items From 2008

More from the office of public intelligence assessments...

Extensive Nuclear Missile Deployment Area Seen in Central China
(May 15, 2008)

Analysis of new commercial satellite photos has identified an extensive deployment area with nearly 60 launch pads for medium-range mobile nuclear ballistic missiles in Central China. The U.S. government often highlights China’s deployment of new mobile missiles as a concern but keeps the details secret, so the discovery of the deployment area provides the first opportunity for the public to better understand how China operates its mobile ballistic missiles. Read more here...

Dozens of launch pads for mobile nuclear missiles dot this region of Central China

Several US nuclear weapons were deployed near Taiwan in 1958
New information about US-Chinese Nuclear Relations

Nukes in the Taiwan Crisis (May 13, 2008)

The 1958 Taiwan Strait crisis triggered U.S. nuclear strike planning but also presidential caution, a newly declassified document shows. Yet caution did not prevent a massive nuclear buildup in the region in the years that followed. After a hiatus in the 1980s and first half of the 1990s, China and the Taiwan scenario  have again become a focus for U.S. nuclear strike planning. Read more...

Despite recent reassertions by Russian officials...

Russian Nuclear Missile Submarine Patrols Decrease Again

(April 28, 2008)

The number of deterrence patrols conducted by Russia’s 11 nuclear-powered ballistic missiles submarines (SSBNs) decreased to only three in 2007 from five in 2006, The new practice indicates that Russia no longer maintains a continuous SSBN patrol posture like that of the United States, Britain, and France, but instead has shifted to a new posture where it occasionally deploys an SSBN for training purposes. Read more...

Russian SSBNs no longer maintain
permanent deterrent posture at sea

A Jin-class SSBN has arrived at Hainan Island
From the private intelligence department:

New Chinese SSBN Arrives at Hainan Island (April 24, 2008)

One of the China's new Jin-class (Type 094) nuclear-powered ballistic missiles submarines has arrived at Yulin Naval Base on Hainan Island, according to a satellite photo obtained by the Federation of American Scientists. The photo also reveals what appears to be a demagnetization  facility, the first known to have been built by China. Read more...

New China Estimate From the Bolt...

Chinese Nuclear Arsenal Increase by 25 Percent Since 2006, Pentagon Report Indicates
(March 6, 2008)

The Pentagon’s 2008 annual report to Congress on China’s military power indicates that China has increased its nuclear arsenal by 25 percent since 2006 due to deployment of ballistic and cruise missiles. Part of the increase will be offset by retirement of older system. The report also echoes my analysis of the Chinese submarine fleet. Read more...

China's has begun deployment of the
DF-10 nuclear-capable cruise missile

One of the biggest nuclear weapons blunders in U.S.
nuclear history is missing from Air Combat
Command's incident list.
Remember the Minot Incident? Well Air Combat Command apparently doesn't...

Nuclear Safety and the Saga About the Missing Bent Spear (February 22, 2008)

The incident where six nuclear weapons were accidentally flown on a B-52 bomber across the United States last August is missing from Air Combat Command's list of significant nuclear weapons incidents, according to this article on the FAS Strategic Security Blog. The article also assesses the official internal investigations of the incident. Read more...

New information on Chinese submarine operations

Chinese Submarine Patrols Rebound, but Remain Limited
(January 7, 2008)

China's entire fleet of approximately 55 general-purpose submarines sailed on six patrols during 2007, according to new information obtained from the U.S. Navy. China's ballistic missile submarines did not conduct any deterrent patrols and never have. For more information, go here.

China's submarine force conducted
six patrols during 2007.


See also: Front Page News Items from 2007, 2006, 2005 and 2004



  © Hans M. Kristensen